Credible Forward Guidance

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2023
Volume: 153
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Batista, Quentin (not in RePEc) Nakata, Taisuke (not in RePEc) Sunakawa, Takeki (Hitotsubashi University)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

How can the central bank credibly implement a “lower-for-longer” strategy? To answer this question, we analyze a series of optimal sustainable policy problems—indexed by the duration of reputational loss—in a sticky-price model with an effective lower bound (ELB) constraint on nominal interest rates. We find that, even when the central bank lacks commitment, the central bank can still credibly keep the policy rate at the ELB for an extended period—though not as extended as under the optimal commitment policy—and meaningfully mitigate the adverse effects of the ELB constraint on economic activity.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:153:y:2023:i:c:s0165188923001057
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29