The role of China in the world economy: evidence from a global VAR model

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2019
Volume: 51
Issue: 15
Pages: 1574-1587

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Since the 1980s, China has experienced very high economic growth, and its share in global trade has increased rapidly. Currently, however, the Chinese economy is rebalancing, and its growth is slowing. This paper investigates the spillover effects on other countries of a negative demand shock and negative stock price shock in the Chinese economy. We apply a global vector autoregressive model, which enables us to model international linkages between countries. Our results show that a one per cent negative China GDP shock reduces global growth by 0.22% in the short run. We find that GDP shock affects emerging economies more strongly than advanced economies. We also show that a stock price shock affects only emerging economies and does not affect advanced economies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1574-1587
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29