Preemption in a real option game with a first mover advantage and player-specific uncertainty

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory
Year: 2010
Volume: 145
Issue: 6
Pages: 2448-2462

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper a two-player real option game with a first-mover advantage is analyzed, where payoffs are driven by a player-specific stochastic state variable. It is shown that there exists an equilibrium which has qualitatively different properties from those in standard real option games driven by common stochastic shocks. The properties of the equilibrium are four-fold: (i) preemption does not necessarily occur, (ii) if preemption takes place, the rent-equalization property holds, (iii) for almost all sample paths it is clear ex-ante which player invests first, and (iv) it is possible that both players invest simultaneously, even if that is not optimal. It is argued from simulations that real option games with a common one-dimensional shock do not provide a good approximation for games with player-specific uncertainty, even if these are highly correlated.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jetheo:v:145:y:2010:i:6:p:2448-2462
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29