Do floods scare off residents?

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2023
Volume: 222
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Berlemann, Michael (not in RePEc) Methorst, Joel (not in RePEc) Thum, Marcel (Technische Universität Dresden)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We use the 2002 flood disaster in the German state of Saxony as a natural experiment to study whether the population avoided disaster-prone areas after the flood. Such voting-by-feet location choices should enhance the resilience of municipalities in the future. Our difference-in-differences analysis with data from 419 municipalities over more than 10 years, however, shows that the communities affected by the flood had higher migration development than non-affected communities. The differential effect is also economically significant; the net migration rate is higher by approximately 2.5 people per 1000 inhabitants per year in affected municipalities.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:222:y:2023:i:c:s0165176522004165
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29