Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2024
Volume: 106
Issue: 2
Pages: 483-504

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper develops a novel dataset of weekly economic conditions indices for the 50 U.S. states going back to 1987 based on mixed-frequency dynamic factor models with weekly, monthly, and quarterly variables that cover multiple dimensions of state economies. We find considerable cross-state heterogeneity in the length, depth, and timing of business cycles. We illustrate the usefulness of these state-level indices for quantifying the main contributors to the economic collapse caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and for evaluating the effectiveness of the Paycheck Protection Program. We also propose an aggregate indicator that gauges the overall weakness of the U.S. economy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:106:y:2024:i:2:p:483-504
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24