The Double Power Law in Consumption and Implications for Testing Euler Equations

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2015
Volume: 123
Issue: 5
Pages: 1177 - 1200

Authors (2)

Alexis Akira Toda (Emory University) Kieran Walsh (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We provide evidence suggesting that the cross-sectional distributions of US consumption and its growth rate obey the power law in both the upper and lower tails, with exponents approximately equal to four. Consequently, high-order moments are unlikely to exist, and the generalized method of moments estimation of Euler equations that employs cross-sectional moments may be inconsistent. Through bootstrap studies, we find that the power law appears to generate spurious nonrejection of heterogeneous-agent asset pricing models in explaining the equity premium. Dividing households into age groups, we propose an estimation approach that appears less susceptible to fat tail issues.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/682729
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29