Adaptation to Climate Change in Preindustrial Iceland

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2012
Volume: 102
Issue: 3
Pages: 250-55

Authors (4)

Matthew A. Turner (Brown University) Jeffrey S. Rosenthal (not in RePEc) Jian Chen (not in RePEc) Chunyan Hao (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 degree Celsius cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 1.14%. We also find that 18th and 19th century Icelanders adapt to prolonged changes in climate after 20 years. These adaptations reduce the short run effect of annual change in temperature by about 60%. Finally, a 1 degree Celsius sustained decrease in temperature decreases the steady state population by 10% to 26%.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:102:y:2012:i:3:p:250-55
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29