Aging and deflation from a fiscal perspective

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 111
Issue: C
Pages: 1-15

Authors (3)

Katagiri, Mitsuru (not in RePEc) Konishi, Hideki (not in RePEc) Ueda, Kozo (Australian National University)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Negative correlations between inflation and aging are observed across developed nations. To understand such correlations from a politico-economic perspective, we embed the fiscal theory of the price level into an overlapping-generations model, with short-lived governments choosing tax rates and bond issues. Aging is deflationary when caused by an increase in longevity but inflationary when caused by a decline in birth rate. Over the past 40 years, aging has generated non-negligible deflationary pressure in Japan. Our analysis sheds new light on the controversy over the burden of national debt and the commitment effect of strategic debt creation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:111:y:2020:i:c:p:1-15
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29