Workers beneath the Floodgates: Low-Wage Import Competition and Workers’ Adjustment

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2018
Volume: 100
Issue: 4
Pages: 631-647

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using employee-employer matched data, I analyze the impact of a low-wage trade shock on manufacturing workers in a high-wage country, Denmark, and how they adjust to the shock over a decade. I derive causal effects by exploiting the dismantling of the Multifiber Arrangement quotas on products from China upon its WTO accession as a quasi-natural experiment and use within-industry, within-occupation heterogeneity in workers’ exposure to this shock. I find significant negative long-run effects on earnings and employment trajectories and identify job instability in the service sector as a main adjustment friction, concentrated among workers with manufacturing-specific education and occupation. The results establish the importance of specific human capital in trade adjustment and provide evidence of skill upgrading as workers rebuild lost human capital through education.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:100:y:2018:i:4:p:631-647
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29