Capturing the power options smile by an additive two-factor model for overlapping futures prices

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 95
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Piccirilli, Marco (not in RePEc) Schmeck, Maren Diane (not in RePEc) Vargiolu, Tiziano (Universita' di Padova, Diparti...)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we introduce an additive two-factor model for electricity futures prices based on Normal Inverse Gaussian Lévy processes, that fulfills a no-overlapping-arbitrage (NOA) condition. We compute European option prices by Fourier transform methods, introduce a specific calibration procedure that takes into account no-arbitrage constraints and fit the model to power option settlement prices of the European Energy Exchange (EEX). We show that our model is able to reproduce the different levels and shapes of the implied volatility (IV) profiles displayed by options with a variety of delivery periods.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:95:y:2021:i:c:s0140988320303467
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29