The discounting premium puzzle: Survey evidence from professional economists

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
Year: 2023
Volume: 122
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Gollier, Christian (not in RePEc) van der Ploeg, Frederick (Oxford University) Zheng, Jiakun (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We surveyed economists’ attitudes toward adjusting discount rates to the risk profile of public programs. Three-quarters of respondents recommend to use project-specific discount rates. For example, on average, respondents discount railway infrastructures more than hospitals and climate mitigation. But the degree of discount discrimination between distinct risk profiles of different projects is fairly limited in our sample given the differences in risk profiles for these projects. Economic experts thus penalize risky public projects far less than financial markets penalize private investments. We call this the ”discount premium puzzle”. Finally, among experts in favor of a single discount rate, there is no consensus on whether it should be based on the average cost of capital in the economy, the sovereign borrowing cost, or the Ramsey rule, which gives rise to disagreement over the level of the recommended discount rate.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeeman:v:122:y:2023:i:c:s0095069623001006
Journal Field
Environment
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29