Do demand and supply shocks in the global crude oil market exhibit asymmetric effects on exchange rates in 13 Asian economies?

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 57
Issue: 31
Pages: 4523-4536

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article investigates whether there are asymmetric effects of oil supply, aggregate demand, and oil-specific demand shocks on exchange rates in 13 Asian economies. We also take into consideration the impact of uncertainty in world trade policy. We provide compelling evidence that supports the presence of long-term asymmetry in at least one of the oil supply and oil demand shocks for the currencies of selected Asian economies. However, we do not find any evidence of short-term asymmetry effects for any of the three oil shocks. Hence, the observed asymmetries in oil supply and demand shocks are considered a phenomenon that occurs over the long term for Asian currencies. Lastly, our findings emphasize the significant role of uncertainty in world trade policy in explaining both long-term and short-term fluctuations in Asian currencies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:57:y:2025:i:31:p:4523-4536
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24