Firm Volatility in Granular Networks

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2020
Volume: 128
Issue: 11
Pages: 4097 - 4162

Authors (4)

Bernard Herskovic (not in RePEc) Bryan Kelly (not in RePEc) Hanno Lustig (not in RePEc) Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh (Centre for Economic Policy Res...)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Firm volatilities comove strongly over time, and their common factor is the dispersion of the economy-wide firm size distribution. In the cross section, smaller firms and firms with a more concentrated customer base display higher volatility. Network effects are essential to explaining the joint evolution of the empirical firm size and firm volatility distributions. We propose and estimate a simple network model of firm volatility in which shocks to customers influence their suppliers. Larger suppliers have more customers, and customer-supplier links depend on customers’ size. The model produces distributions of firm volatility, size, and customer concentration consistent with the data.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/710345
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29