Delayed Overshooting: Is It an '80s Puzzle?

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2017
Volume: 125
Issue: 5
Pages: 1570 - 1598

Authors (3)

Seong-Hoon Kim (not in RePEc) Seongman Moon (not in RePEc) Carlos Velasco (Universidad Carlos III de Madr...)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We reinvestigate the delayed overshooting puzzle. Using a method of sign restrictions, we find that delayed overshooting is primarily a phenomenon of the 1980s when the Fed was under the chairmanship of Paul Volcker. Related findings are as follows: (1) Uncovered interest parity fails to hold during the Volcker era and tends to hold during the post-Volcker era; (2) US monetary policy shocks have substantial impacts on exchange rate variations but misleadingly appear to have small impacts when monetary policy regimes are pooled. In brief, we confirm Dornbusch's overshooting hypothesis.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/693372
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29