Do Smokers Underestimate Risks?

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 1990
Volume: 98
Issue: 6
Pages: 1253-69

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper uses a national survey of 3,119 individuals to examine the effect of lung cancer risk perceptions on smoking activity. Both smokers and nonsmokers greatly overestimated the lung cancer risk of cigarette smoking, and the extent of the overestimation is much greater than the extent of underestimation. These risk perceptions in turn significantly reduce the probability of smoking, as suggested by an economic model of risky consumption decisions. Cigarette excise taxes in effect endow individuals with additional risk perceptions comparable to their current assessed lung cancer risks. Copyright 1990 by University of Chicago Press.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:v:98:y:1990:i:6:p:1253-69
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29