Leverage and Beliefs: Personal Experience and Risk-Taking in Margin Lending

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2016
Volume: 106
Issue: 11
Pages: 3367-3400

Authors (2)

Peter Koudijs (not in RePEc) Hans-Joachim Voth (Universität Zürich)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

What determines risk-bearing capacity and the amount of leverage in financial markets? Using unique archival data on collateralized lending, we show that personal experience can affect individual risk-taking and aggregate leverage. When an investor syndicate speculating in Amsterdam in 1772 went bankrupt, many lenders were exposed. In the end, none of them actually lost money. Nonetheless, only those at risk of losing money changed their behavior markedly; they lent with much higher haircuts. The rest continued largely as before. The differential change is remarkable since the distress was public knowledge. Overall leverage in the Amsterdam stock market declined as a result.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:106:y:2016:i:11:p:3367-3400
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29