Company stock price reactions to the 2016 election shock: Trump, taxes, and trade

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2018
Volume: 130
Issue: 2
Pages: 428-451

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Donald Trump's surprise election shifted expectations: corporate taxes would be lower and trade policies more restrictive. Relative stock prices responded appropriately. High-tax firms and those with large deferred tax liabilities (DTLs) gained; those with significant deferred tax assets from net operating loss carryforwards (NOL DTAs) lost. Domestically focused companies fared better than internationally oriented firms. A price contribution analysis shows that easily assessed consequences (DTLs, NOL DTAs, tax rates) were priced faster than more complex issues (net DTLs, foreign exposure). In sum, the analysis demonstrates that expectations about tax rates greatly impact firm values.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:130:y:2018:i:2:p:428-451
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29