Does measurement error matter in volatility forecasting? Empirical evidence from the Chinese stock market

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2020
Volume: 87
Issue: C
Pages: 148-157

Authors (4)

Wang, Yajing (not in RePEc) Liang, Fang (not in RePEc) Wang, Tianyi (University of International Bu...) Huang, Zhuo (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.251 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Based on methods developed by Bollerslev et al. (2016), we explicitly accounted for the heteroskedasticity in the measurement errors and for the high volatility of Chinese stock prices; we proposed a new model, the LogHARQ model, as a way to appropriately forecast the realized volatility of the Chinese stock market. Out-of-sample findings suggest that the LogHARQ model performs better than existing logarithmic and linear forecast models, particularly when the realized quarticity is large. The better performance is also confirmed by the utility based economic value test through volatility timing.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:87:y:2020:i:c:p:148-157
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29