Inflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recession

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2014
Volume: 104
Issue: 5
Pages: 31-36

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The rate of inflation fell far less over the period 2007-2013 than in the period 1979-1985 despite similar large increases in the unemployment rate. This paper asks why. Possible explanations include a change in the persistence of inflation, changes in NAIRU, and other shocks. A change in the persistence of inflation, with inflation more anchored in the period 2007-2013 than in the period 1979-1985, is found to be important. The level and change in the NAIRU cannot be precisely estimated, but the data suggest an increase of nearly 1 percentage point since 2007.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:104:y:2014:i:5:p:31-36
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29