Core Inflation and Trend Inflation

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2016
Volume: 98
Issue: 4
Pages: 770-784

Authors (2)

James H. Stock (not in RePEc) Mark W. Watson (Princeton University)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines empirically whether the measurement of trend inflation can be improved by using disaggregated data on sectoral inflation to construct indexes akin to core inflation but with a time-varying distributed lags of weights, where the sectoral weight depends on the timevarying volatility and persistence of the sectoral inflation series and on the comovement among sectors. The modeling framework is a dynamic factor model with time-varying coefficients and stochastic volatility as in Del Negro and Otrok (2008), and is estimated using U.S. data on seventeen components of the personal consumption expenditure inflation index.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:98:y:2016:i:4:p:770-784
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29