Bayesian analysis of periodic unit roots in the presence of a break

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2017
Volume: 49
Issue: 38
Pages: 3841-3862

Authors (2)

Alexander Vosseler (not in RePEc) Enzo Weber (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und...)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

A Bayesian testing approach for a periodic unit root in quarterly and monthly data is presented. Further a Bayesian test is introduced to test for unit roots at (non)seasonal spectral frequencies. All procedures admit one structural break in the periodic trend function, where the occurrence of a break and the associated timing are treated as additional model parameters. A Bayesian model averaging (BMA) approach is proposed and power functions of the tests are computed. Overall the results indicate that the BMA periodic unit root test exhibits favourable test properties even in small samples. In an empirical application the presented testing procedures are used to test for (non)seasonal forms of unemployment persistence among OECD countries.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3841-3862
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29