The Returns to College Persistence for Marginal Students: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from University Dismissal Policies

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Labor Economics
Year: 2018
Volume: 36
Issue: 3
Pages: 779 - 805

Authors (3)

Ben Ost (not in RePEc) Weixiang Pan (not in RePEc) Douglas Webber (Federal Reserve Board (Board o...)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We estimate the returns to college using administrative data on both college enrollment and earnings. Exploiting that colleges dismiss low-performing students on the basis of exact GPA cutoffs, we use a regression discontinuity design to estimate the earnings impacts of college. Dismissal leads to a short-run increase in earnings and tuition savings, but the future fall in earnings is sufficiently large that 8 years after dismissal, persisting students have already recouped their up-front investment with an internal rate of return of 4.1%. We provide a variety of evidence that manipulation of the running variable does not drive our results.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jlabec:doi:10.1086/696204
Journal Field
Labor
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29