Data‐Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 1999
Volume: 54
Issue: 5
Pages: 1647-1691

Authors (3)

Ryan Sullivan (not in RePEc) Allan Timmermann (not in RePEc) Halbert White

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we utilize White's Reality Check bootstrap methodology (White (1999)) to evaluate simple technical trading rules while quantifying the data‐snooping bias and fully adjusting for its effect in the context of the full universe from which the trading rules were drawn. Hence, for the first time, the paper presents a comprehensive test of performance across all technical trading rules examined. We consider the study of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), expand their universe of 26 trading rules, apply the rules to 100 years of daily data on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and determine the effects of data‐snooping.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:54:y:1999:i:5:p:1647-1691
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29