Are emerging market indicators of vulnerability to financial crises decoupling from global factors?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2012
Volume: 36
Issue: 2
Pages: 321-331

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper assesses the extent to which common factors underlie indicators of vulnerability to financial crises in emerging market economies (EMEs) and whether this link is changing over time. We use a Bayesian dynamic common factor model to estimate their common component in a sample of up to 41 countries including both developed as well as emerging economies. This permits us to interpret the component in common to both of them as a global factor. We introduce time variation into the model to investigate whether indicators are decoupling from global factors over time. While decoupling can be observed in a few cases, the exposure to global factors in most countries tends to fluctuate around the mean. Broadly speaking then, the answer is no.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:36:y:2012:i:2:p:321-331
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29