Heterogeneous Government Spending Multipliers in the Era Surrounding the Great Recession

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2020
Volume: 102
Issue: 2
Pages: 304-322

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract We use novel quarterly data of U.S. states to examine the dynamics of relative spending multipliers in the decade surrounding the Great Recession. While multipliers were around 1 in expansions, they reached values above 4 when a state was in a recession. Also a high (low) degree of household indebtedness augmented (lowered) a state's multiplier by 0.5 in expansions and 2 in recessions. We further document modest positive spillover effects across states and show that a mere redistribution of spending across states also had a significant influence on the aggregate U.S. economy due to cross-state heterogeneity of the effects.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:102:y:2020:i:2:p:304-322
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24