The Missing Intercept: A Demand Equivalence Approach

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2023
Volume: 113
Issue: 8
Pages: 2232-69

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

I give conditions under which changes in private spending are accommodated in general equilibrium exactly like changes in aggregate fiscal expenditure. Under such demand equivalence, researchers can use time series evidence on fiscal multipliers to recover the general equilibrium "missing intercept" of shocks to private spending identified in the cross section. Through the lens of this theory, time series estimates of a fiscal multiplier around one suggest a missing intercept close to zero—an observation that I illustrate with an application to the 2008 tax rebates. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation approach to plausible violations of demand equivalence.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:113:y:2023:i:8:p:2232-69
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29