Expectations and optimal monetary policy: A stability problem revisited

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2014
Volume: 124
Issue: 2
Pages: 296-299

Score contribution per author:

0.505 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

A landmark result in the optimal monetary policy design literature is that fundamental-based interest rate rules invariably lead to rational expectations equilibria (REE) that are not stable under adaptive learning. In this paper, we make a novel information assumption that private agents cannot observe aggregate fundamental shocks, and use simple linear forecasting rules for learning. We find that with fundamental-based rules, there exist limited information equilibria that are stable under learning. Moreover, there are multiple equilibria. Learning can be used as a selection tool to identify a unique equilibrium.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:124:y:2014:i:2:p:296-299
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29