Market conditions, default risk and credit spreads

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2010
Volume: 34
Issue: 4
Pages: 743-753

Authors (2)

Tang, Dragon Yongjun (not in RePEc) Yan, Hong (Shanghai Jiao Tong University)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study empirically examines the impact of the interaction between market and default risk on corporate credit spreads. Using credit default swap (CDS) spreads, we find that average credit spreads decrease in GDP growth rate, but increase in GDP growth volatility and jump risk in the equity market. At the market level, investor sentiment is the most important determinant of credit spreads. At the firm level, credit spreads generally rise with cash flow volatility and beta, with the effect of cash flow beta varying with market conditions. We identify implied volatility as the most significant determinant of default risk among firm-level characteristics. Overall, a major portion of individual credit spreads is accounted for by firm-level determinants of default risk, while macroeconomic variables are directly responsible for a lesser portion.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:34:y:2010:i:4:p:743-753
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29