Capital Tax Reform and the Real Economy: The Effects of the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2015
Volume: 105
Issue: 12
Pages: 3531-63

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper tests whether the 2003 dividend tax cut—one of the largest reforms ever to a US capital tax rate—stimulated corporate investment and increased labor earnings, using a quasi-experimental design and US corporate tax returns from years 1996-2008. I estimate that the tax cut caused zero change in corporate investment and employee compensation. Economically, the statistical precision challenges leading estimates of the cost-of-capital elasticity of investment, or undermines models in which dividend tax reforms affect the cost of capital. Either way, it may be difficult to implement an alternative dividend tax cut that has substantially larger near-term effects. (JEL C72, C78, C91)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:105:y:2015:i:12:p:3531-63
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29