Listening to the Market: Music sentiment and cryptocurrency returns

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2025
Volume: 157
Issue: C

Authors (4)

Hadhri, Sinda (not in RePEc) Younus, Mehak (not in RePEc) Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr (not in RePEc) Yarovaya, Larisa (University of Southampton)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper investigates how investor sentiment, captured through a novel Spotify-based mood metric, influences the cross-sectional pricing of cryptocurrencies. Drawing on behavioral finance and psychological theories, we hypothesize that emotional states reflected in musical choices influence cryptocurrency returns. Using weekly data from 2,551 cryptocurrencies over five years, we find that sensitivity to music sentiment significantly predicts future returns. Our results reveal a negative relationship between music sentiment beta and near-term returns, with multivariate regressions confirming its explanatory power beyond traditional risk factors. We also uncover nonlinear and time-varying effects, consistent with sentiment-driven mispricing and investor attention cycles. This study offers a global sentiment measure, contributing to the understanding of mood-driven dynamics in speculative markets and informing trading strategies, policy, and research.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:157:y:2025:i:c:s0261560625001299
Journal Field
International
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29