Examining Chinese volume–volatility nexus: A regime-switching perspective

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2025
Volume: 144
Issue: C

Authors (4)

Wang, Zhenxin (not in RePEc) Wang, Shaoping (not in RePEc) Yan, Yayi (Shanghai University of Finance) Xia, Yingcun (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.251 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study developed an observation-driven endogenous regime-switching model to observe the relationship between trading volume and return volatility based on a regime-switching perspective. We proposed a maximum likelihood estimation method to estimate the unknown parameters and introduced two likelihood ratio statistics to examine the effects of observable variables on regime shifts. We conducted extensive simulation experiments, confirming that the method performed well regarding finite samples. We applied the proposed model to examine the volume–volatility nexus in China’s stock market. Empirical findings indicate that (1) the relationship between trading volume and volatility is regime specific, (2) the Sequential Information Arrival Hypothesis (SIAH) was more significant in the low-volatility state, and (3) a significant leverage effect can be observed in the Chinese stock market.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:144:y:2025:i:c:s0264999324003407
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29