Are Long-Run Inflation Expectations Anchored More Firmly in the Euro Area Than in the United States?

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2011
Volume: 3
Issue: 2
Pages: 104-29

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper compares the evolution of long-run inflation expectations in the euro area and the United States, using evidence from financial markets and surveys of professional forecasters. Survey data indicate that long-run inflation expectations are reasonably well anchored in both economies but reveal substantially greater dispersion across forecasters' long-horizon projections of US inflation. Analysis of daily data on inflation swaps and nominal-indexed bond spreads, which gauge compensation for expected inflation and inflation risk, also suggests that long-run inflation expectations are more firmly anchored in the euro area than in the United States. (JEL D84, E31, E37, E52, E58)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:3:y:2011:i:2:p:104-29
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24