Score contribution per author:
α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count
We investigate the role of uncertainty measured by news-based implied volatility in anticipating US long-term market volatilities from a GARCH-MIDAS model. We find that news-based implied volatility performs well in predicting long-term aggregate market volatilities. A subsample analysis provides that the predictive power of news-based implied volatility is decreasing.