The rise of a new anchor currency in RCEP? A tale of three currencies

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2021
Volume: 104
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Guo, Dong (not in RePEc) Zhou, Peng (Cardiff University)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a flow-based criterion (intensity of use) and a stock-based criterion (stability of value) for choosing an anchor currency. This conceptual framework is applied to analyzing the RCEP region. According to the estimated TVP-VAR model, the influence of the US dollar in the region was weakened during the global financial crisis and the COVID pandemic, creating an opportunity for both Chinese Yuan and Japanese Yen to compete for the anchor currency. In terms of the intensity criterion, China accounts for the largest share in the regional share, but Yen seems to have an upper hand in the stability criterion. The sophisticated cooperative-competitive relationship between China and Japan may prolong the birth of a new anchor currency. Before then, US dollar still holds the role and the RCEP regional trade is subject to excessive volatility.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:104:y:2021:i:c:s0264999321002364
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29