Fertility Policy Adjustments and Female Labor Supply: Estimation of Marginal Treatment Effect Using Chinese Census Data

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Year: 2024
Volume: 59
Issue: 6

Authors (4)

Shenglong Liu (not in RePEc) Tianyu Jin (not in RePEc) Meng Li (not in RePEc) Shaojie Zhou (Tsinghua University)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using microdata from the sixth census, we estimate the marginal treatment effect of fertility on female labor supply in rural China based on the generalized Roy Model. We find that the decline in childbearing willingness magnifies negative impact of fertility on female labor supply, particularly for women with higher educational attainment. In the context of the universal two‐child policy, the policy‐relevant treatment effects show that weekly labor supply falls by 7.5–12.3 hours after having a second child. Our research implies that female labor supply should be taken into consideration when introducing certain fertility incentive policies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:uwp:jhriss:v:59:y:2024:i:6:p:1865-1892
Journal Field
Labor
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29