Inflation regimes, core inflation measures and the relationship between producer and consumer price inflation

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2007
Volume: 39
Issue: 10
Pages: 1295-1305

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

To date, an overwhelming majority of the literature has addressed mean relationships between producer and consumer price inflation. Granger et al. (1986) represent the only attempt to investigate second moment relationships. We examine the consumer--producer price relationship employing a multivariate GARCH-M framework that allows simultaneous estimation of the bivariate system along with providing explicit times series estimates of the variances of consumer and producer price inflation. This research also breaks new ground in the use of core and over-all inflation variance measures as well as examining state dependent mean and variance relationships. We find that mean relationships are generally sensitive to the measure of inflation used. Food and energy prices play an important role in transmitting changes in aggregate input prices to aggregate output prices. When food and energy prices are eliminated from consumer and producer price inflation measures, mean relationships break down irrespective of whether the economy is experiencing a high or low inflation regime. Variance relationships appear to be more robust in general and input price relationships in particular appear to respond to inflation regime shifts.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1295-1305
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24