Does fiscal policy matter for stock-bond return correlation?

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 128
Issue: C
Pages: 20-34

Authors (4)

Li, Erica X.N. (not in RePEc) Zha, Tao (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlant...) Zhang, Ji (Tsinghua University) Zhou, Hao (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Switching between monetary and fiscal regimes is incorporated in a general-equilibrium model to explain three stylized facts: (1) a positive correlation of stock and bond returns in 1971–2001 and a negative correlation after 2001, (2) a negative correlation of consumption and inflation in 1971–2001 and a positive correlation after 2001, and (3) the coexistence of a positive bond risk premium and a negative correlation of stock and bond returns. While the technology shock drives the positive stock-bond and negative consumption-inflation correlations in the monetary regime, the investment shock drives the negative stock-bond and positive consumption-inflation correlations in the fiscal regime.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:128:y:2022:i:c:p:20-34
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29