The Dynamic Electoral Returns of a Large Antipoverty Program

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2021
Volume: 103
Issue: 5
Pages: 803-817

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Governments around the world use short-term reelection strategies. This is problematic if governments can maximize their reelection chances by prioritizing short-term spending before an election over long-term reforms. This paper tests whether longer program exposure has a causal effect on election outcomes in the context of a large antipoverty program in India. Using a regression-discontinuity framework, the results show that length of program exposure lowers electoral support for the government. The paper discusses a couple of potential explanations, finding that the most plausible mechanism is that voters hold the government accountable for the program's implementation quality.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:103:y:2021:i:5:p:803-817
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29