Common volatility shocks driven by the global carbon transition

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2024
Volume: 239
Issue: 1

Authors (2)

Campos-Martins, Susana (not in RePEc) Hendry, David F. (Rimini Centre for Economic Ana...)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a novel approach to measure the global effects of climate change news on financial markets. For that purpose, we first calculate the global common volatility of the oil and gas industry. Then we project it on climate-related shocks constructed using text-based proxies of climate change news. We show that rising concerns about the energy transition make oil and gas share prices move at the global scale, controlling for shocks to the oil price, US and world stock markets. Despite the clear exposure of oil and gas companies to carbon transition risk, not all geoclimatic shocks are alike. The signs and magnitudes of the impacts differ across climate risk drivers. Regarding sentiment, climate change news tends to create turmoil only when the news is negative. Moreover, the adverse effect is amplified by oil price movements but weakened by stock market shocks. Finally, our findings point out climate news materialises when it reaches the global scale, supporting the relevance of modelling geoclimatic volatility.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:239:y:2024:i:1:s0304407623001665
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-02-02