Winning probabilities in a pairwise lottery system with three alternatives

B-Tier
Journal: Economic Theory
Year: 2005
Volume: 26
Issue: 3
Pages: 607-617

Authors (2)

Frederick Chen (not in RePEc) Jac Heckelman (Wake Forest University)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The pairwise lottery system is a multiple round voting procedure which chooses by lot a winner from a pair of alternatives to advance to the next round where in each round the odds of selection are based on each alternative’s majority rule votes. We develop a framework for determining the asymptotic relative likelihood of the lottery selecting in the final round the Borda winner, Condorcet winner, and Condorcet loser for the three alternative case. We also show the procedure is equivalent to a Borda lottery when only a single round of voting is conducted. Finally, we present an alternative voting rule which yields the same winning probabilities as the pairwise lottery in the limiting case as the number of rounds of the pairwise lottery becomes large. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin/Heidelberg 2005

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:spr:joecth:v:26:y:2005:i:3:p:607-617
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-02-02