Risk, Futures Pricing, and the Organization of Production in Commodity Markets.

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 1988
Volume: 96
Issue: 6
Pages: 1206-20

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines equilibrium in a spot and futures market with both primary producers (growers) and intermediate producers (processo rs). For a commodity that is subject to output shocks, processors tend to hedge long, in contrast with J. R. Hicks's theory of futures hedging. Nevertheless, if transaction costs are low, the two-stage production process brings about a downward futures price bias, consistent with Hicks's pricing prediction. But if costs of trading futures are high, growers tend to be differentially driven from the futures market, reversing the direction of the bias. Futures trading may also affect the organization of industry. Copyright 1988 by University of Chicago Press.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:v:96:y:1988:i:6:p:1206-20
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-02-02