Monetary policy effects in times of negative interest rates: What do bank stock prices tell us?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Intermediation
Year: 2023
Volume: 53
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Bats, Joost V. (not in RePEc) Giuliodori, Massimo (not in RePEc) Houben, Aerdt C.F.J. (Universiteit van Amsterdam)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper investigates bank stock performance following different monetary policy actions in times of positive and negative interest rates. Controlling for the broader stock market, monetary policy announcements that cause an unanticipated downward shift in the yield curve and a flattening of the shorter-end of the yield curve are found to persistently reduce bank stock prices once the interest rate environment is negative. Consistent with the deposits channel of monetary policy, the effects are larger and more persistent for banks that are relatively dependent on deposit funding. By contrast, a surprise movement in the slope of the longer-end of the yield curve does not impact bank stock prices in times of negative interest rates. Accounting data confirm that a parallel drop in the yield curve following a monetary policy decision in a negative interest rate environment hurts banks through shrinking deposit margins.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinin:v:53:y:2023:i:c:s1042957322000560
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-02-02