TESTING STRICT STATIONARITY WITH APPLICATIONS TO MACROECONOMIC TIME SERIES

B-Tier
Journal: International Economic Review
Year: 2017
Volume: 58
Issue: 4
Pages: 1227-1277

Authors (3)

Yongmiao Hong (University of Chinese Academy ...) Xia Wang (not in RePEc) Shouyang Wang (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a model‐free test for strict stationarity. The idea is to estimate a nonparametric time‐varying characteristic function and compare it with the empirical characteristic function based on the whole sample. We also propose several derivative tests to check time‐invariant moments, weak stationarity, and pth order stationarity. Monte Carlo studies demonstrate excellent power of our tests. We apply our tests to various macroeconomic time series and find overwhelming evidence against strict and weak stationarity for both level and first‐differenced series. This suggests that the conventional time series econometric modeling strategies may have room to be improved by accommodating these time‐varying features.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:iecrev:v:58:y:2017:i:4:p:1227-1277
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-02-02