Sources of Fluctuations in the Real Exchange Rates and Trade Balances of the G-7: A Sign Restriction VAR Approach

B-Tier
Journal: Review of International Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 23
Issue: 4
Pages: 715-737

Authors (2)

Hyeon-seung Huh (Yonsei University) Won Soon Kwon (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper estimates structural vector autoregression models of output, the real exchange rate and trade balance for the group of seven leading advanced economies (G-7). Unlike previous studies, we do not impose long-run purchasing power parity as an identifying assumption; instead, the shocks underlying the model are structurally identified using a set of theory-consistent sign restrictions. Empirical results show that nominal shocks account for most of the long-run variability in trade balances across the G-7 countries. We are able to attribute this finding to long-run movements in the real exchange rate, as the real exchange rate is significantly affected by nominal shocks in the long run.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:reviec:v:23:y:2015:i:4:p:715-737
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-02-02