Overconfidence, subjective perception and pricing behavior

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Year: 2019
Volume: 164
Issue: C
Pages: 107-132

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the implications of overconfidence for price setting in a monopolistic competition setup with incomplete information. Our price-setters overestimate their abilities to infer aggregate shocks from private signals. The fraction of uninformed firms is endogenous; firms can obtain information by paying a fixed cost. We find two results: i) overconfident firms are less inclined to acquire information relative to the rational benchmark; ii) prices might exhibit excess volatility driven by non-fundamental noise. We explore the empirical predictions of our model for idiosyncratic price volatility.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeborg:v:164:y:2019:i:c:p:107-132
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24