Finite-sample corrected inference for two-step GMM in time series

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2023
Volume: 234
Issue: 1
Pages: 327-352

Authors (2)

Hwang, Jungbin (University of Connecticut) Valdés, Gonzalo (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper develops a finite-sample corrected inference for the efficient generalized method of moments (GMM) in time series. To capture a higher-order uncertainty embodied in estimating the time series GMM weight matrix, we extend the finite-sample corrected variance formula of Windmeijer (2005) to heteroskedasticity autocorrelated robust (HAR) inference. Using fixed-smoothing asymptotics, we show that our finite-sample corrected test statistics lead to standard asymptotic t or F critical values and suffer from less over-rejection of the null hypothesis than existing GMM procedures on finite-samples, including continuously updating GMM. Not only does our finite-sample corrected variance formula correct for the bias arising from the plugged-in long-run variance estimation, but it is also not exposed to a potential side effect of Windmeijer’s formula, which can introduce an additional source of over-rejection after the correction.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:234:y:2023:i:1:p:327-352
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-02-02