Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2015
Volume: 97
Issue: 3
Pages: 698-709

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper presents a new empirical regularity between the volatility of productivity growth and long-run unemployment for a given level of long-run productivity growth. A theoretical framework based on asymmetric real wage rigidities is shown to have the potential to rationalize this finding. The model tends to fit U.S. long-run unemployment better than a specification based on long-run productivity growth only, especially during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:97:y:2015:i:2:p:698-709
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24