Perceived FOMC: The making of hawks, doves and swingers

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 136
Issue: C
Pages: 125-143

Authors (2)

Bordo, Michael (not in RePEc) Istrefi, Klodiana (Banque de France)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

An important and open question in monetary economics is how the Federal Reserve makes its policy decisions. We document that when an FOMC member was born, his/her educational background and the Committee’s changing hawk-dove composition have predictable effects on FOMC decisions. The odds of an FOMC member being a hawk are higher when he/she graduated from a university linked to the Chicago school of economics; instead, a dove likely graduated from a university with strong Keynesian beliefs and was born during a period of high unemployment. These findings have implications for the choice of and confirmation of FOMC members.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:136:y:2023:i:c:p:125-143
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-02-02