Gains from anchoring inflation expectations: Evidence from the taper tantrum shock

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2020
Volume: 188
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

0.251 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Have improvements in monetary policy frameworks increased emerging market resilience to external shocks? This paper exploits the May 2013 taper tantrum episode in the United States to study the reaction of 18 large emerging markets to an external shock, conditioning on their degree of inflation expectations’ anchoring. We find that while the tapering announcement negatively affected growth prospects regardless of the level of anchoring, countries with weakly anchored inflation expectations experienced larger exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices and higher inflation. These findings suggest that gains in inflation expectations’ anchoring can improve central bank’s policy trade-offs when facing external shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:188:y:2020:i:c:s016517651930415x
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24