Bounded rationality and macroeconomic (in)stability

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2026
Volume: 155
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Gurrola Luna, Alejandro (not in RePEc) McKnight, Stephen (Colegio de México)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We analyze how bounded rationality affects the determinacy properties of forecast-based interest-rate rules in a behavioral New Keynesian model with limited asset market participation (LAMP). We show that the conventional wisdom for achieving equilibrium uniqueness under rational expectations – adherence to the Taylor principle with low/moderate LAMP, while adopting a passive policy under high LAMP – does not carry over to more realistic frameworks with myopic agents. Under moderate participation rates, the combination of myopia and LAMP have a destabilizing effect on the economy by helping to induce indeterminacy under the Taylor principle. In contrast, myopia plays a key stabilizing role in high LAMP economies, where a passive policy is no longer required to prevent indeterminacy, and determinacy under the Taylor principle can be restored. We investigate the sensitivity of our results to a policy response to output; alternative forms of bounded rationality; and the inclusion of a cost-channel of monetary policy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:155:y:2026:i:c:s0264999325004237
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-02-02